Intro: Which of these connected coordinates of open productivities of knowledge and work do you want to cross-examine first:
K1*(individual being) K2*(group being - eg team)K3*(one systems gravity of leadership) K4* (global business sector's future for all peoples) K5* (how sustainability of local societies interacts with global sectors)
Latest posts: Feb 2006
The Networks of Messrs DeSkilling .. tell us at wcbn007@easynet.co.uk which searches you most value in this blog eg Drucker Love Commonwealth .. Are European leaders announcing any space races as revolutionary and imaginative as those of President Bush (version 2006)?
How the EU turned against Human KM -a case study in compounding economic destruction by investing in machines and power, whilst cutting down people and transparent networks.
Most of my learning (or knowledge exploring) around the value multipliers of peoples economics comes from reading my father's thousands of leaders at The Economist- many of these are freely useable today (eg the death of distance series are causing a new American Revolution as you click, whereas the Entrepreneurial Revolution catalogue were used as early as 1976 by Romano Prodi in leadership roundtables across Italy) to open up future history debates we could describe that flow into this weblog as being inspired by what Drucker meant by knowledge work and co-working and social ecology and against the kind of manager who empires over people with the IT budget or spreadsheeted numbers. Then my mother's family brings several generations of links with medicine and constitution of India and British Raj - not least that she would have been classified as Indian not British in nationality if my grandfather hadn't been responsible for doublechecking integrity of the constitutional laws which Britain drafted for India's independence. Kemp and Kemp: My mother's brother was also a lawyer whose crust was earned as a mediator of big business disputes; but whose hobby -or passion for good law - was to write up the precedents of compensation for people who suffered lifelong personal injury's. One of David's last crusades for individual rights provides the networking lead that unseated the British Lord Chancellor who almost destroyed personal injury compensation because his own understanding of compound arithmetic of lifetime costs was not as future-deep as it needed to be. Strangely to my mathematician's eyes for truth-testing connectivity: it is this misunderstanding of exponentials and potential risks to humanity due to compound loss of transparency mapping that is the weakest link and today globalization's greatest people risk wherever we cannot see wholy enough because lawyer or economist failed to sustain the highest trust by imposing rules that may have perfectly fit their past but were mathematically wrong to try to be precise about for evolving all our future's goodwill.
Others may want to understand the more nuanced leadership dialogues of 30 years of debates around Entrepreneurial Revolution (watch out for 2006 30th birthday parties, or help co-create one); Death of Distance network wires and future history scripts (22nd year young including humanity's sustainability Project30000 being collaboratively co-edited by bloggers at Club of Village * City * Country); or are latest professional work of goodwill mapping of global sector exponentials (where the future is upcurving or downcurving) due to contextually fit governance connecting the trust-flow of intangibles, network transparency across organisational boundaries, and global*local sustainability interactions which require a simultaneous end to economics of externalities being indulged by every top 10000 organisation. These are all dynamics that value exchange 1 2 mapping of valuetrue trasnparency communities can open source around any global industry context or network leader.Hi-trust investment over a generation returns 100 fold to investors but only by multiplying ever more value for society.
Chris Macrae, wcbn007@easynet.co.uk, http://kmeurope.blogspot.com

Sunday, April 30, 2000

K4 integrating into the most valuable future exponential for its global market sector
to serve people

*integrating
K1 how a free to join virtual community could connect professions in a networked age where the experience/learning curves and productivities of people to make a difference
* integrating
K2 group formats such as teams, practice communities and social networks, and such interdisciplinary content hubs as emotional intelligence
* integrating
K3 Gravitation of transparent organisational leadership governed as a purpose compounding system of productive & demanding relationships
*integrating
K5 harmonising sustainably with societies' investments and knowledge collaboration city, 2 million global villages and other constructs that recognise the need to connect:
1) places of diversity being ultimately where all longest-term cultural, natural and human resource investment is sustained even whilst death of distance means that peoples mentors and work may connect many different places.
Benchmarking of the 3rd Kind

I believe the Future of London (the second of Collaboration Knowledge City London's 5 global change villages) is discovering this kind of benchmarking as per this end of January 2006 note reproduced below. I came across benchmarking of the first 2 kinds when working at Coopers and Lybrand's in the early 1990s on valuing what Baldrige and other Total Qulaity Management movents had achieved in opening colaboration spaces whose research eladers systemically incorporated. I wrote a short article on this for Robert Heller's Annual on World management News: type 1 benchmarking starts well enough in opening up a collaboration network but ends with more standardisation than context leadership systemisation needs to compound the most valued futures in terms of tangible product quality; type 2 benchmarking implements what's needed but does not close the standard to deeper context evolution as far as could be understood in the pre-networked world which Deming's Total Quality revolutions were boundarised by. see also value system

L-Village 2: One of London's most exciting leadership launches in 2006 is Tomorrows Global Company. This has been rehearsed as an annual benchmaking sysndicate for leading UK companies for about 7 years, itself a networking branch of The Royal Society of Arts, a network where the great, the good, and the socillay preneurial have been getting together in cafes LV5 and open spaces LV3 for 251 years; so both daughter and 251 year old parent feel they are now ready to go global. I am loosely involved in helping issue TGC inivitations to companies with big enough collaboration chalenges to chnage the world of transparent leadership. Next week one of our team meetings is being held in London prior to the annual inspiration lecture Al Gore is giving us in March. My current question here: what has knowledge got to do with tomorrow's global company. If you have a short answer that I can understand, I will collate it and circulate it among the team. chris wcbn007@easynet.co.uk -subject TGC KM

Saturday, April 29, 2000

The future of the world - and the human race if there is to be one after century 21 - depends on governing global sectors transparently and sustainably (map the future's compound exponentials simply enough for all the world to hold communal debates to our open hearts contents)


The first test case of this will be water. Because clean is the number 1 ingredient of life as well as health, and because water waves are coulpled with other environmental waves of nature's evolutionary power, which at a global level of species promtion and extinction will always be more determinant than what beings race to do.


So before knowledge angels (a name the EU coined for transparent and meta-professional networking in 2002) were destroyed by apparently frightened bureaucrats (or self-centred "piecemeal expert" academics lobbying) the European Union from 2003 on, we started some far reaching debates on sustaining water and life. Here are a few of them.










Can KM learn from The Day that Water Dies
There is KM for goodwill organisational systems and KM for badwill organisations. The two may be opposite, even warring, communal practices. By ignoring deep contexts as only social, we probably disconnect ourselves from the greatest human challenges. If only from the mathematical view of human relations systems and complexity - that may be the biggest mistake the first networking generation can make and compound for ever...

MEMORIAM
Dec 31 (update): Swedish deputy foreign minister says she fears total of lives lost might go above 200,000.

(Before next time: Can we learn the simplest tenets of cricial incident KM)- wikipedia
breaking news, dec 26:Tsunami Help: http://tsunamihelp.blogspot.com/ Check out this url for info/updateson the Tsunami disaster and if you would like to help in anyway...through donations, volunteer work, etc.
The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs maintains
http://www.reliefweb.int,/ a Web site that lists information by disaster.

Here are some of the organizations:

• The International Red Cross and Red Crescent societies in southern Asia. Donations are being accepted at 800-HELP-NOW and http://www.redcross.org./

• AmeriCares. Call 800-486-4357 or visit
http://www.americares.org/ to donate.

• Doctors Without Borders is preparing relief supplies for the area of Indonesia closest to the epicenter of the earthquake, among other projects. Contact 888-392-0392 or visit
http://www.doctorswithoutborders.org./

• Mercy Corps, an international coalition of humanitarian agencies , is accepting donations at 888-256-1900 and
http://www.mercycorps.org./

• Save the Children Federation is seeking $5 million in private and public support for its emergency response through its Asia Earthquake/Tidal Wave Relief Fund. Contact 800-728-3843 or visit
http://www.savethechildren.org./

• Care is mounting an emergency response in areas hardest hit such as Sri Lanka and India. Contact 800-521-2273 or visit
http://www.careusa.org./




Open Copyright Asserted by Chris Macrae, wcbn007@easynet.co.uk
2004 – Death of Water
1994 – Source of The Economist’s Death of Brand Manager
1984 – The 2024 Report: The 2 Future History scenarios- goodwill versus badwill - of how the networking system revolution will spin our world.



The Day that Water Dies – Number 1 in the Knowing what will Happen Series

1) Everyone’s connected
2) Everyone over 50 has a sick water story
3) If the system sickness isn’t turned round water will die
4) Who holds the key to restoring water’s life globally?

1) Everyone’s connected
If you are interested in the survival prospects of the human race, a simple question to start with concerns goodwill between our 6 billion people. Is goodwill growing sustainably at all localities, or is it in some globally vicious and humanly destructing spin? You might have a feeling about the answer by looking around you. But for those who want the simplest scientific inquiry, here we boldly go. The 6 billion being question can be explored by asking: what interconnects all of us humans? Water is a simple, if not the simplest answer - even with technology’s networks spawning global villages as you read this.

Broadly speaking if you ask any doctor, you will be told that your body may survive 60 days without any food but only 3 days without any water. Moreover, without clean water the human race would face all sorts of epidemics and slow building cancers because not much else could be cleaned. So if the day that water dies is approaching us any time in the next 100 years –the life span all our grand children appreciate – then we should be concerned by this disaster scenario. It merits as much news coverage as predictions that an asteroid or some other weapon of mass destruction is going to hit planet earth. (Note of school project to Britons: Does the BBC World Service get this picture? If not, why do we, the people, still licence the world’s largest public broadcaster?)

2) Everyone over 50 has a sick water story.
Mine isn’t that interesting but it may be quite typical of a northerner or westerner living in a country that appears to have almost unlimited tap water. It’s about earliest childhood memories. I don’t know yours but mine were of summer holidays. Probably I was three years old. We were up staying in my aunt’s house in Lamlash on the Isle of Aran, and a Mackerel shoal came in. I have never seen so many fish in my life. Every householder was cooking fish and chips. That fresh Big Mac was as nutritious a feast as it was delicious. During the second half of my lifetime, fish haven’t been seen off the isle of Aran; nor would you eat fish as a good-for-you-food from such oily waters even if you did catch the odd one or two.

Harsher stories about water come from usually the South & East where a billion people don’t have access to fresh water or have to travel at least 15 minutes to get a single drop. In the latter case, women – in such poor areas it is usually women on whom the children’s household stands or falls – spend a large part of their lives carrying water to and fro. It is an image worth kids in the world’s schools knowing about – and talking about from internet chatroom to wherever friends hangout over a brand of soda-water. Then none of us will grow up being uneducated about the most human truths relating to the cost of water.


3) If the system sickness isn’t turned round , water will die
So, being chilled out about water would seem to be a careless or even an evil thing for the human race to permit happen globally and systemically. As ever with the study of goodwill mapping, we are talking about the sustainability of a system over the years, not the global accountants’ 90 day measures of one group’s interest versus another’s. The two –sustaining the life of a human relationship system and quarterly extraction of money – require tensely opposite mathematical models wherever governance is intended to be democratic (always looking forward to the good interest of the most people, instead of the fewest). Can it be an accident that we have seen the most shocking models of big corporation profiteering relate to the most basic stuff on which life and societal wellbeing depends? For example, to the extent that any of Enron’s numbers were about actual quarterly profits, they involved markets like that of California’s energy, where shortages and outages were staged time and again so that people would be prepared to pay more and more. I wonder how many people know that in the case of water, one global utility wouldn’t accept a contract for supplying people in Bolivia unless a law was passed which forbad people from collecting rainwater. What responsible regulator with a good map would support such a value chaining ruse for ensuring a monopoly - one whose prices for a large slice of the community predictably became so high that they had to give up food or medicine? Should we look to see whether water’s ever spreading sickness is related to illwill having taken over the mathematics of measuring what’s humanly most valuable?

4) Who holds the key to restoring water’s life globally?

We have suggested that 2 primary factors are capable of spinning each other towards the death of water. Faulty economic models that turn against the goodwill of local majorities as viciously as any apartheid or slavery recorded in man’s history, and the troubles to nature of compounding chemically dirty water faster than we can clean it up. Today’s challenge: while we blindly let these forces rule, water dies. If we see the problem in this way, then the 6 billion people question becomes: what sort of decision-making can change the whole global system?
Emotional Intelligence

We can draw more detailed pathways around the above globe if, for example, you have the urge to pit one nation against another. However, to understand the future of the human race, an eye-opening question is: which governments are people 100% certain of being on our side for developing a sustainable system worldwide so that water begins to come alive again, instead of increasingly dying?




KnowledgeBoard, 7th October 2004
Categories: KM and Emotional Intelligence SIG
Published by: Chris Macrae
Story read: 1486












Mail this article to a friendMail this article to a friend
Printer friendly version
Add comments to this article







User Comments











User comments Chris Macrae , 28 January 2005 @ 11:18 AM Rating
world economic forum discusses water
Mr Chris Macrae
The Chief Executive of Alcan is moderating a debate http://www.knowledgeconcierge.com/WEFPublic/kc_panel.asp?eventName=EIXLWIDOO442K9&PanelID=PE_1338.15632.32775.15632.59326.180
extract below

It is also notable that President Lula from Brazil is speaking tonight at 18.00. I'd be quite surprised if he doesnt invite any water or ecological system scholar to the party that Foz is planning this September.

the World Economic Forum is working to spur private and government cooperation in the management of water and watersheds “from the summit to the sea”. Among practices that address the global water challenge:


Replacing open water-channels with pipes and buckets that deliver water, drop-by-drop, to crop roots. Such drip irrigation conserves water that would otherwise run off or evaporate, and it can double or even triple the amount of food produced per unit of water.

Selling inexpensive tools that expands the ability of poor farmers to get water. For example, inexpensive foot-powered pumps that cost about $35 per unit allow farmers to pump water they could not access before, yet return some $100 in their first year of operation. More than a million have been sold in Bangladesh alone.

Reusing wastewater and modifying common practices to conserve water in order to prevent evaporation and run-off by lining canals to make them water-tight. Some 65% of Israeli wastewater, for example, is now reused.

According to most scholars and policy-makers, however, the most important needed reform is simple awareness. Today, one billion people do not have access to fresh water. By 2025, the number will rise to four billion. (ed if this figure is correct then we are in for the deepest economic & human depression of any quarter century)












User comments Adite Chatterjee , 18 January 2005 @ 04:12 AM Rating
a more humanitarian approach to trade
Adite Chatterjee
Tsunami has impacted the lives of poor fishermen and people in "low-cost" countries. The EU Trade Commissioner has stated that "The localised nature of the damage poses real challenges in ensuring that relief hits the target, but there are trade measures we can use to assist rebuilding in the countries affected by the disaster, notably by speeding up measures to improve their access to our markets". This is key to sustainable relief and rehabilitation of the people (see url for the full statement)
http://europa.eu.int/comm/trade/issues/bilateral/regions/asem/pr110105_en.htm
Second, there are new challenges that these countries faced, some of which are highlighted in this paper:
http://www.oxfam.org/eng/pdfs/pp050107_tsunami.pdf
Adite











User comments Chris Macrae , 15 January 2005 @ 11:00 AM Rating
broadening the inquiry of my last post
Mr Chris Macrae
Are there another top 10 contexts we could do something similar for in connecting worldwide and local knowledge; or give this a European focus by choosing one transparent collaboration issue nominated by each of the 10 most recent nations joining the EU -perhaps this community would be getting to a different pace if it had been called wisdomboard




What was the opportunity of the world's number 1 virtual space invested in by public funding. Surely it was for that kind of knowledge building (as well as the evolution of an open whitebox for such virtual community public application sharing of valuable knowhow) that could invite all disciplines or all people who have a humanly valuable context to openly participate. Surely EU funding with public money should never be used in the following way: to trial 100 projects that industry thinks are too risky or too academic to put in its own money but hopes that one of the 100 will succeed so that some vested interest can quickly extract that. I am not saying that is what knowledgeboard is doing, but looking at the whole history of EU and government investments of public money in KM, as a matter of transparent public conscience (in the light of the now widely report abject failure 5 years into the vision 2010), it is now time to be give evidence that it is not happening anywhere the EU spends our taxpayer's money.

If there's anyone who agrees that this issue is at least worth exploring I invite them to email me at mailto:wcbn007@easynet.co.uk?subject=km and join our 100 plus members newsletter (where members post in there questions/ideas on how to further this for the public good)












User comments Chris Macrae , 15 January 2005 @ 10:46 AM Rating
could we use (even one front page indexed thread in) knowledgeboard..
Mr Chris Macrae
to establish a transparent and cumulative log of learnings about securing Indian Ocean Coastlines for the Future?

It seems to me that what the public have walked and talked across Europe in the last 2 week says we should.

It is a very small start but the sorts of content we might be accumulating and linking includes working to increase access and memorability to such stories as:

Some very context-specific issues, including non-technological ones

Do no shrimp farming at the expense of mangroves

Keep elephants on the beach as lifeguards; if the sea unusually looks as if its disappearing down a sink, run for your lives in the opposite direction

Don’t build houses on the sea shore; know where the nearest evacuation hill is

Establish a bush network that goes beyond nations; is there someone with a mobile or an email who can be alerted every 3 miles along inhabited coastlines; how would mass media or someone like google be involved in getting that alert out in minutes. There isn’t time for powerful people (national governments, scientific experts) to get advance warnings first; alert news must be openly distributed for local people to choose what to do.

These stories need taking to other spaces that could popularise them be they the ecological curricula we teach our kids at school or public broadcast media who as scearioised in my 1984 co-authored book should now be helping in getting 30000 projects tested and freely franchised for improving world harmony if globalisation is to be the sustainability of our species not its extinction (mathematically we have less than a decade to at least start passing what Buckminster Fuller and system thinkers call mankind's final examination in connectivity and trust-flow)















User comments Chris Macrae , 12 January 2005 @ 22:07 PM Rating
for the want of shrimp, thousands died
Mr Chris Macrae
When I started this column in October, as a systems thinker concerend because i had heard a few too many stories on how governments policies on water had deserted the people for big business , it didnt occur to me that tens of thousands of people would die because governments preferred the shrimp farming industry to caring about people

but here is conclusive looking knowledge:
Oceangate 26 Dec04
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=%22rape-and-run+industry%22&btnG=Google+Search>search rape-and-run industry

so if anyone's reading this, do please tell me who is knowledge management for until or unless we the people can get governments taking our side against vetsed interests of big business - here's a way in to the simplest network of newtorks of the people












User comments Chris Macrae , 03 January 2005 @ 01:35 AM Rating
overwhelmed by my inbox in last 5 days
Mr Chris Macrae
I asked myself which was the most typical post I see from strong networking communities that I do not see from KB. I decided this would be as good a sample as any - am I the only one at KB who feels this post may represent a silent majority of the world's people's opinions?

From: Ned Iceton, NSW Australia
Social Developement Network
Date: Thu, 30 Dec 2004 11:02:21 +1100
To: Friends & Sydney Morning Herald

Subject: Is God playing at terrorism?

Dear Sirs,

Could the melting of the polar ice-caps under the influence of the contemporary global warming be shifting the continental plates in a way that will make earthquakes and tsunamis, as well as the weather, worse from this point on? Is an ego-centric humanity about to discover that a God who takes no sides is unimpressed and can play at terrorism too!?

What a tsunami disaster we are seeing unfold! I wonder will this event shock people to begin pulling together instead of mutually exploiting, being exploited, suppressing and rebelling? That would be the only possible silver lining.

Will humanity draw the lesson? Will the various exploitative, terrorism-provoking governments and transnational corporations, AND the 'blow-back'* reactionaries they have brought into being in response, get the message and desist? There are more important things to do. Can we make another effort as a species to become trustworthy, trusting, loving and generous? Why not try at giving ourselves a future on this planet?

-- Ned Iceton ____________________________________________________________________________
* Chalmers JOHNSON, "BLOWBACK: The Costs and Consequences of American
Empire", 2000, Little Brown & Co, UK, and 2002 Time Warner paperbacks,
London.
[Chalmers Johnson is President of the Japan Policy Research Institute
and professor emeritus at the University of California, San Diego. "No
one else has exposed the shortsightedness, hubris, corruption and
instability of (USA's) imperial overreach with such impassioned
incisiveness - 'BLOWBACK' is a wake-up call for America" - John W.
Dower. A book written in advance of the 'blowback' event known as
September 11 2001. (Over 100,000 Iraqi civilians are said to have been
killed thus far.)]













User comments Chris Macrae , 03 January 2005 @ 01:19 AM Rating
some knowledge sharing from google communities
Mr Chris Macrae
http://www.google.com/tsunami_relief.html




extract from google any answers conversation

Subject: Re: Top 5-10 Bookmarks on Differentiating World's Public Sector TV Broadcasters
From: hydcallin-ga on 26 Dec 2004 21:44 PST
I am sure, by now that you would have heard about the Tsunami? Since a tsunami happens with a warning, which is inevitably an earthquake and in our case we had a 3 hour warning and yet no one knew what was
happening. So maybe a Telecom-TV-Internet network would have helped, at least in getting
people off the coast or maybe reducing the casualities.

3 hours would have meant some folks straddling the beaches could have been saved,


From: simpolnetworker-ga on 02 Jan 2005 05:32 PST
yes sadly, the Tsunami connects with what I am trying to ask whether 6 billion of us might want to change in a kaledidoscope of ways.

Before the disaster, many countries (other than Sumatra) could have had up to 2-3 hours notice of this critcal incident to come. It might not have changed much if the seismologist scientist nets had contacted
all the mass media, or if google had had a disaster emergency alert inbox and newsletter to people sampled at every locality - but will we get that working before the next worldwide distributed disaster countdown? We need to know (not today but with absolute transparency one year on) what went wrong with the core scientists efforts: is it
true that the message got to Bangkok but because a false alarm had been released 6 years ago, those in charge effectively said dont worry the tourists this time? I dont think we should care about the soundbites of knowing now, but I would like no doubt in having that rumor quashed or sustantiated in the minds of all of us by Xmas 05?

What's this tell us about the future media & KM infrastructures needed (or at least widescale public conversations) so another time we can openly know as fast as the media covers events might be worth a conversational document on?

Something completely different:
After the Disaster, BBC & DD could - if they have the collaborative world service spirit - can/will develop an ongoing documentary format:
which OceanGate communities are recovering, which need the next most urgent help, are we learning anything like Mangroves are good and some aspects of globally smart development are context-communally disastrous. This kind of program could also be developed into some
reality quiz show on vital human matters or linked to one conversational area on the net (such as 30000 action projects being piloted at knowledgeboard)where people who have tried a communal safety project (or poverty resolving one) and got working in one place could freely franchise to matching hi-trust communities wherever they are located.












User comments Chris Macrae , 31 December 2004 @ 13:41 PM Rating
jigsaw piece - part 2
Mr Chris Macrae

Rising sea levels - in the absence of protective coral reefs and mangroves, and presence of recent human coastal developments - guarantee that any tidal wave will prove maximally destructive. As Jeff McNeely, chief scientist of the Swiss-based World Conservation Union (IUCN), explains: "When a tsunami comes in, it first hits the coral reef which slows it down, then it hits the mangroves which further slows it down. It may get through that but by then a lot of the energy has already been dissipated."

This tidal wave is the most recent "natural disaster" indicative of ecological collapse commencing on a planetary scale, first exhibiting itself particularly hard in Asia. This is because Asia is unrivaled in terms of intensive land alterations and ecological destruction over millennia. This is anything but an aberration, as deadly flooding and droughts have become routine in deforested areas of the Philippines, Indonesia and China.

Simply, Asia's current population can not be sustained given current natural capital and spiraling climate change. Asian ecosystems have overshot their carrying capacity, and we are witnessing what happens when humans live without regard to ecology. Lasting social recovery and ecological sustainability throughout Tsunami impacted coastal Asia will depend upon restoring mangroves, coral reefs and other natural coastal ecosystems, while restricting coastal development.

More systematically - in Asia, and indeed globally - failure to address climate change, deforestation and over-population means massive man-abetted natural disasters will increasingly become the norm.

This observation is made with utmost respect and concern for current and future victims of ecocide. Humanity has long abused the Earth - and we continue to do so at great risk. The Earth does not belong to us, we belong to the Earth. As goes the Earth will go humanity.












User comments Chris Macrae , 31 December 2004 @ 13:40 PM Rating
jigsaw piece? -part 1
Mr Chris Macrae
This seemed a relevant piece of knowledge written from an observer in Indonesia- as always only you can decide if its part of a jigsaw concerning you. Personally I wonder if it would be too much to hope for that one day soon the British Broadcasting Corporation will use some of our taxpayer's livence to do a world service documentary. Hire a helicopter and fly up and down the ocean's coastlines involved (if no map exists) to discover examples (if they exist) of where the report below is most true. If large scale foreign developers were involved in any places make a list on the BBC website so at least we can see who didn't know the cultures they were re-developing. My personal knowledge plea is that 22 years on from first doing surveys in Jakarta- life-critical systems are so much more context specific than some global planners ever seem to understand. I dont particularly believe in some extreme ecological scearios but I do believe in context deep care and championing situated communal wisdom.

Asian Tsunami Hails Ecological Collapse
Rising seas, coastal development, over-population and loss of mangroves and coral reefs make such natural disasters more likely and deadly

By Dr. Glen Barry
December 28, 2004

Asia's recent utterly tragic tsunami was caused by a natural earthquake, but worsened by human activities. The reactionary anti-Earth right has been quoted several times in recent days as saying it was only a matter of time until environmentalists blamed the catastrophe on global warming and other environmental causes. Well here goes...

There is nothing new in tidal waves and storm surges hitting coastlines. This has shaped and molded both coastal geography and plant communities forever. This is why traditional peoples rarely lived right on the beach, preferring to reside back a bit. This tidal wave was so damaging because of commercial coastal development, Asia's perilous over-population, and destruction of protective coastal ecosystems such as coral reefs (by over-harvest, climate caused bleaching, and dynamite fishing) and mangroves (particularly for shrimp farming).

The Asian Tsunami is indicative of the types of problems that global warming can and will exacerbate. It is known conclusively that climate change is raising sea levels, at least 10-20 cm over the past century, and it is expected this century's increases will be even greater. There is no doubt that all else equal, higher sea levels would contribute to greater damage from such waves. Simply - if you stand up quickly in a full bathtub, it is more likely to overflow than if half full.












User comments Chris Macrae , 30 December 2004 @ 06:58 AM Rating
goodwill vs badwill KM part .. of ..
Mr Chris Macrae
1.7 If you can connect with relatively central people coordinates of one goodwill system, it should be quickly possible to explain why their network can multiply many other goodwill networks. So a true activiser interested in water as a human right, can quickly see the interdependency with trying to reconcile geographical or racial conflicts, of facilitating open source communal spirit, of applying enlightenment creeds such as Gandhi’s be the change or Mother Therese ‘love the work you do’ , or meditative methods that detach you from fear/ego and authentically enable you to stand up for the greatest goodwill mission/cause you skills experience you for serving other people. What you appreciate, appreciates. It is also the case that goodwill systems feed from compounding forward patterns (naggingly (in my view) labelled complexity maths). One such "simpol" pattern is: you can turn round a badwill system if you can identify the speculative power and take it out of the picture while getting all other parties to unify around what they need from the context; finally renegotiating with their combined power until the speculative force gives in. Another pattern is you only need to revel in the most detailed maps (those underpinning broader communal common sense principles) if as change agent you are searching for the smallest change that can make the maximum waves through the system. Another pattern is where 2 experts are both certain their opposite views are correct and prepared to submit to an open jury; they probably are both right but one is voicing from a more inclusive state of order than another. How to time the transition is the bridge the jury needs to intervene with not the taking of sides. Unfortunately law (or policy-making process) often misses the big picture of the game it is supposed to be refereeing.


Deeper resolution patterning for specific contexts of understanding:
ask me at wcbn007@easynet.co.uk if you want the full outline on this












User comments Chris Macrae , 30 December 2004 @ 06:56 AM Rating
Different KM Practices of Goodwill & Badwill Systems -part .. of ..
Mr Chris Macrae
The Different KM Practices of Goodwill & Badwill Systems (version 0.0)

1.1 All human relationships systems are spinning: sustainable growth or destruction (see the green curve, red curve picture lower down). It’s important to know which system curve you are in and how far down the curve is compounding. Goodwill means that all sides are gaining what is most important over time. Badwill means that either all sides are losing or one speculative interest is taking everything from all other people groups.

1.2 Spin happens because when you communally assemble several sides around a context, there are natural tensions and energies between them. Healthy tensions naturally cause growth. Unfortunately it is easy for a tension to snap. If its not transparently repaired in time, its error compounds cycle after a cycle, having a cancerous impact (rupturing other healthy tensions)

1.3 It is important to emphasise that many of the people in a badwill system are not bad but blind. They feel helpless, powered over, disengaged, so they go along with the coercion of the system. And as we illustrated with the snapping metaphor when they first joined the system it may well have been good.

1.4 Goodwill systems tend to attract each other and multiply power across their networks; so unfortunately do bad. A meta-system such as globalisation is ultimately an intangibles war between all goodwill systems and all badwill systems. Only one of two extreme outcomes can ultimately spin from it.

1.5 Badwill systems tend to be powerfully resourced with money, negative emotions such as fear, controls, need to know, lack of transparency. They tend to be active not just talk.

1.6 It is therefore vital that enough KM people study the opposite ways goodwill systems can spin. Usually hi-trust is vital in networking relationship permissions. The danger of a lot of talk must be projected into an action franchise. Once that franchise has been made to work somewhere, it should be open sourced in all matching contexts.












User comments Chris Macrae , 28 December 2004 @ 20:01 PM Rating
2 cents & back to this thread's stream
Mr Chris Macrae
My 2 cents on Denham's last post: If water cant cleanse the communal spirit, I am unclear what can. On content coverage I believe I help animate quite a diverse range of conversations around this community, is your map of inquiry as broad/deep as this:Emotional Intelligence
From water contexts in the last year I have enjoyed high level global policy dialogues unlike any other with huge learning for understanding compound cosequences of worldwide goodwill (next post) as well as breakdowns in networks. Ultimately, I belong to the camp that much of KM is quite a meaningless subject without context; I respect you belonging to a different camp as you choose.



Today my father first heard the most sad news of the death of

David Kinnersley, a phd Candidate he tutored in Cambridge just after the war. David's network at wateraid is immense finding more water wells to dig to free up womens' lives than any other group known to me; go look at news of how a child dies needlessly every 15 minutes because we haven't yet systemised water as a universal human right

Economist and public servant who helped form WaterAid

Jim Haworth
Friday December 17, 2004
The Guardian

In 1980, the economist and public servant David Kinnersley, who has died aged 78, attended the launch of the United Nations' water decade in New York. Inspired by this and his experiences of witnessing the struggle of people in developing countries to get safe water, he believed that the UK water industry should make a contribution to ensure that people throughout the world had access to clean, safe water.
Returning to London, he was largely responsible for organising the National Water Council's Thirsty Third World conference in January 1981. Encouraged by influential conference delegates to seek the backing of Sir Robert Marshall, chairman of the NWC, and other council members, he prepared for the formation of what became WaterAid.

Despite scepticism from some quarters, the charity was set up in March that year "for the relief of poverty and suffering among the peoples of the developing countries through the improvement of drinking water supplies and sanitation". This was Kinnersley's drafting that, little changed, has stood the test of time.

His energetic support and determined advocacy continued through his life, and he saw WaterAid's annual turnover rise to £18.3m. The charity's reputation and influence are now substantial and eight million people throughout the developing world have now benefited from its work.












User comments Denham Grey , 28 December 2004 @ 12:47 PM Rating
Clarification
Denham Grey
Chris,

My critique is not commercial in origin. I feel many of your posts are tangential to the community spirit here at KB. BTW I have no authority to voice KB mission other than as an active & concerned member of this community.

I'm here to learn, understand and practice knowledge management - your issues around intangibles, openness and repetitive tirades against commercial wrong doing (Enron & Andersen) seem to detract from deep discussion, discovery and learning about knowledge work IMO.












User comments Chris Macrae , 28 December 2004 @ 07:35 AM Rating
bigger pictures
Mr Chris Macrae
You seem to be voicing some commercial concerns; yet let's look at how google's big picture progressive system has in 5 years compounded value has helped nurture 50 billion growth for its owners and I imagine 100 times that for its communal users

but then I hear someone say but that's a learning product, so let's take water (a very tangible substance but one whose universal connections with every living act of people will be detroyed if it is commercialised by primarily closed minds instead of keeping its open its source and cleanliness)

Seeing the inter-relationships of deep context and those who role play value demand and connecting sources of knowledge/service woould seem to be a natural startin place for any community interested in conversing about such commercial understanding

Emotional Intelligence. The ten leading seats/coordinates around this communal conversation roundtable are described at the top of the KMEI sig beginning with this community's current hot agenda of the role of PKM . Here is Google's case analysis opened up by this communal visualisation frame.












User comments Denham Grey , 28 December 2004 @ 03:38 AM Rating
The role of KM here?
Denham Grey
Chris,

Please expand on the role that KM plays here?

What are the KM related activities that leverage our empathy and understanding in this area?

What unique insights does this water related networking bring to the KM domain?

Our mission here (on KB) is not to save the human race (nobel as that may be), it is to understand, practice, appreciate and learn how to work with knowledge.

A challenge to you - Show us the connections please!












User comments Chris Macrae , 27 December 2004 @ 22:04 PM Rating
to friends of critical knowledge flows
Mr Chris Macrae
3) I have copied some of my friends at simpol including global founder John Bunzl and Australian coordinator BJ(the first Australian MP to pledge Simpol RS appears to be active for ecological issues) -perhaps Brian can confirm how high up her priorities these sorts of issues may be or who else in Australia may love water as the gateway to opening up other human rights

I will send you my draft chapter on water as one of the top 10 globally active networks in my book biography of networks later in the week

4) Do you know which package tour companies already include Foz in their brochure; it would help me kick some London travel agents brochures into shape if I knew. I will see if my brand design friends like Jack in NZ have any ideas on how to start planting a world humanitarian site plaque on select destinations like Foz- if it can be done with relais & chateau, why not landmark conference areas and 21st C wonders for humanity?

good 2005 to all context-deep explorers of change activism Chris Macrae http://chrismacrae.blogspot.com/

Mikail Gorbachev's Foreword to Water- drop of life

WATER LIKE RELIGION and ideology has the power to move millions of people. Since the very birth of human civilisation, people have moved to settle close to it. People move when there is too little of it. People move when there is too much of it. People journey down it. People write sing and dance about it. People fight over it. And all people, everywhere and every day, need it.

We need it for drinking, for cooking, for washing, for sanitation, for industry, for energy, for transport, for rituals, for fun, for life. And it is not only we humans who need it; all life everywhere is dependent on it water to survive.

But we stand today on the brink of a global water crisis. Although certain parts of the world have abundant water resources, supplies of drinking water are inadequate in many regions. Let us acknowledge that access to clean water is a universal human right, and in so dong that we accept that we have the corresponding universal responsibility to ensure that the forecast of a world where in 25 years time, two out of every three persons face water stress is proven wrong.

Without water security, social , economic and national stability are imperilled. This is magnified where water is shared across borders - and becomes crucial where water stress exists in regions of religious, territorial or ethnic tension. Thus we are faced with a mighty challenge.

Fortunately we have a history of meeting great challenges using imagination and our irrepressible capacity to adapt, and thousands of people around the world are already mobilised to the cause of preserving water for future generations. Just as we are moved by water, we must now move in order to save it.












User comments Chris Macrae , 27 December 2004 @ 22:03 PM Rating
to FF & friends of critical knowledge flows -part 1
Mr Chris Macrae
Can I check whether you or Brazilian Embassy have started connecting up the Biodiversity Corridor ( http://search.blogger.com/?as_q=foz&ie=UTF-8&ui=blg&bl_url=clubofbrazil.blogspot.com&x=57&y=9 ) of Foz's 100 Water Dam & River Basin project program and world meeting in September 05 to this list of contributors to the Water-Drop of Life film and book? (If you prefer me to try to send first cheeky mails to any of this list, please say which...)

Primary Contributors to Water- the drop of life:
Kofi Annan, Secretary General, United Nations
Isabel Allende, Chilean Novelist & Playwright
Jimmy Carter, Founder of Jimmy Carter Centre
Johan Cruyff, Founder of Johan Cruyff Welfare Foundation
The Dalai Lama, Spiritual & political leader of Tibet
Ted Danson, President of American Oceans Campaign
Mikhail Gorbachev, Founder of Green Cross International *** Foreword Footnoted Queen Noor of Jordan, Chair of King Hussein Foundation Simon Peres, Founder of the Peres centre for Peace Anita Roddick, Founder of the Body Shop -more links as I have time to code them at http://waterangels.blogspot.com/

2) May I introduce you to Australian founder of Global Reconciliation Network www.globalreconciliationnetwork.org , Professor Paul Komesaroff at Monash- together with www.simpol.org the 2 most globally active linking networks for humanity that I know of (see eg GRN's pre-Xmas testimony expedition to Delhi http://clubofdelhi.blogspot.com and cc alumni of that event Ganesh, Adite, Modjtaba )








User comments Chris Macrae , 07 October 2004 @ 13:35 PM Rating
DC, you have a problem - so do we
Mr Chris Macrae
Amazing grace in a book on water for 12 year olds- thanks Anita Roddick!

As water dies so will people -blogs on why the social networks of 20000 visiting London don't want that to happen to water

Where water dies it will be because governments listened to global corporates to the exclusion of their people. I do understand this is tough for the political ruling class- how can a ten person cabinet sitting in Downing Street (a tip for the heart flutterer- empower the BBC to do investigative journalism again starting with water, you can be bigger than Hutton) - or wherever - be expected to understand better than the industry's greatest scientific experts? and wouldnt you expect the world's biggest organisations to know more than your local people?

Well no as a mathematician I would not in the case of anything as much to do with trust as water; we map mathematical models for rebuttal here and Wiley publishes them early next year once a business journalist as finished getting business leaders across London to interview them

and regarding the context of water- 2 years discussed at knowledgeboard here

If this doenst make sense, and/or you are lucky enough to live with a government who you truly trust your water's future to, there are many who would love to hear of the case and come and learn from it. Please tell us!

chris macrae
Why Not London & 50 other cities

with thanks to The Simultaneous Policy for globalisation people want and to many social lawyers including the inspirations of Joel Bakan (www.thecorporation.com) and Margaret Blair (Unseen Wealth) ; and of course the two Roberts Monks & Hinkley; and Marjorie Kelly



Friday, April 28, 2000










Tsunami lessons learned
Unfortunately, this is not the first time that a massive tsunami has been the cause of widespread disaster and it won't be the last time either. Here is a link to a detailed collection of lessons learned from the massive tsunami of 1960 stemming from the largest earthquake ever recorded.

http://pubs.usgs.gov/circ/c1187/

But what are the efforts being made to communicate such lessons learned to the people that need them? I am familiar with the UN's International Strategy for Disaster Reduction, which seems like a great initiative, but why is there nothing about the tsunami on their home page?

http://www.unisdr.org/

The International Community for Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management has some lively discussion going on about the tsunami response.

http://www.iscram.org

Anyone else know of good sites or forums on the subject of KM for disaster response?




KnowledgeBoard, 6th January 2005
Categories: KM & Critical Incident Management SIG, KnowledgeBoard Latest
Published by: Andrew Lewis
Story read: 3251












Mail this article to a friendMail this article to a friend
Printer friendly versionPrinter friendly version
Add comments to this articleAdd comments to this article







User Comments
Share your views with other users: add your own comments to this story.

Legal Notice

Number of comments: 25










User comments Chris Macrae , 27th March 2005  Rating
You can hardly tell where the computer models finish and the dinosaurs begin.”
Mr Chris Macrae
I had to tell you of an on KMalert context journal paper that begins with this quote

you can download it from http://www.bepress.com/jhsem/

Special Issue on Information Systems for Emergency Preparedness and Response

The particular paper I loved is that on
Believe in the Model: Mishandle the Emergency, Simon French and Carmen Niculae

Would love to hear if people get time to read any of the accompanying papers - sounds like there are some real practice crackers to be enjoyed

 











User comments Chris Macrae , 16th March 2005  Rating
war between law and KM
Mr Chris Macrae
Our civilisation is unsustainable if law and insurance is always going to block learning from disasters. At two annual meetings of risk managers that I have spoken at on KM of risk in recent years, their stories of how law serially stops learning and causes tragedies to be repeated is horrific-it burns my soul.

When I read this newspaper report on Tsunami it gives me the sickest feeling of deja vu:

"The seismologist in charge of the Government probe said yesterday that his report would be kept from public scrutiny, and its conclusions would never be put in writing.

Samith Dhammasaroj told a Bangkok press conference that it was his patriotic duty to prevent leaks of information which might be used to substantiate the charges of "serious lapses" filed against the Government of Thailand in a New York district court last week."

In every context of KM, I ask you to consider : what can we do to make sure that law does not stop us from learning from disasters? Two years ago, I chose this as my main focus when testifying to the British Standards authority on KM & Culture. Surely this is the very least memorial we owe to loss of human life. For our part we invite (mail me at wcbn007@easynet.co.uk) any sustainability analyst to join in editing World Shares - a blog (being prepared in Londoners' representations on future of British Broadcasting, since UK is world's largest public investor in this sector) that judges each days news for what sectors are profiting from economics of externalities - which is any way in which a sector uses its deepest knowledge to profit from putting another society at risk or blocking full understanding that could make our chnaces of sustaining life better next cycle round

Apart from rampant speculators, there is a new mood emerging amongst those who pick investments on behalf of pension funds and other investments that societies everywhere makes. If we don't join scolars of law in ending economics of externalities, investment in progress- and in life itself - comes to a halt. It will be interesting to see if the KM profession -and indeed who if anyone in Europe's Union - will lead the way in demanding chnage to leaderships attitudes regarding world shares.

Fiddling while Rome burns has never been a KM success factor...as far as I understand

chris macrae, Future of London and open syndicatiion through intercities

 











User comments Chris Macrae ,  4th March 2005  Rating
fascinating article
Mr Chris Macrae
starting with how Darwin had reported on a Tsumani, it nailed these 2 points; the second one seems to me to generalise to prevention of so many disasters (spread of hiv, keeping water unpoluted...) If anyone is studying inter-local up community networks of any sort of application, my mail is wcbn007@easynet.co.uk and we'd love to form a mapmaking club with them...I can see that ordinary people are going to have to do this because in none of the application areas have I ever yet global or local governments with funding processes designed around inter-local networks- of course soon, interlocal leadership and media coverage will need to be valued if there is to be a day after tomorrow

nature article extract: bring together the different scientific communities, such as seismologists involved in tsunami warnings, meteorologists involved in storm-surge warnings, and oceanographers involved in both, to develop an integrated, multihazard system...this will require unprecedented cooperation among a wide community of experts and stakeholders. But it would also dramatically improve cost-effectiveness, by both reducing the initial investment and spreading the burden of long-term costs.

Tailor the system to local cultural, social and economic conditions. Although the tsunami warning system must work on a global scale, its users will be local. As with so many things, we need to be thinking globally and acting locally. Civil populations cannot be educated or warned without accounting for — and benefiting from — local knowledge and concerns. Outreach, education and public awareness efforts will only work if they are woven into national, cultural and local environmental fabrics. For example, in Aceh, Indonesia, it has been suggested that rapid delivery of warnings could exploit the wide distribution of Islamic mosques with loudspeaker systems used for calls to prayer.

Ultimately, the development of the scientific and technical backbone of a tsunami warning system is a global responsibility, but preparedness remains a task for individual nations, or regions. We will require novel mechanisms for cooperation between scientists and social scientists, and between different organizations at the international, national and regional levels.

In particular, the international scientific community must not get carried away with the tantalizing but flawed idea that there is a quick technological fix to these complex societal issues. Instead, we need to broker a process through which countries of any given region come to recognize themselves as the true owners of the system. In their eagerness to help, states or organizations from outside the region might even obstruct the process by which Indian Ocean rim countries come together to plan, create and implement a system. But...

 











User comments Erich Feldmeier ,  4th March 2005  Rating
A quick technological fix is not the best response to the December tsunami
Erich Feldmeier
Nature
Published online: 2 March 2005; | doi:10.1038/434019a
Watching over the world's oceans
Keith Alverson

Keith Alverson is at the Global Ocean Observing System of the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO, 1 Rue Miollis, 75732 Paris, CEDEX 15, France.
A quick technological fix is not the best response to the December tsunami.


Best regards,
Erich

 











User comments Chris Macrae , 24th February 2005  Rating
erich, your bp story interests me a lot
Mr Chris Macrae
1) After Lord John Brown at World Economic Forum made a speech about business leaders not being active enough to wholly turn round African continent's troubles, I sent him a cheeky letter inviting a reply of what BP was doing or helping others cooperate in as well as sending greetings from my father whom he used to know; I did get a reply from someone in charge of corporate communications, which was creditworthy because such letters currently evoke 20% reply rates across all our networks experiences (1,2,3) but it wasnt as clear as yours

2) I am particularly interested because I spent my week before Xmas 04 in Delhi with the main community team training provider of UNAIDs in Africa and India - which turns out to be the Salvation Army. If anyone has read the stories of Daving Livingstone as a missionary, it is probably the case that nothing as deeply and geographically broadly caring and humanly connecting in community terms has happened as an outside initiative for Africa since Livingstone and before the Salvation Army training of how local youth can support HIV afflicted communities. Of course I am delighted to be told of other external supports that have linked at the grassroots, but as yet I don't see them coming from all the g8 talk this year of Africa05; perhaps I am biassed because last week I was listening to 3 global aids funds budgetholders (including that of the G8) explain their multibillion dollar funding programs in a Washington hotel, and I couldnt connect it at the gravitaional/"situated" level that I could talking to the salvation army training team; I hope some of those at KB who specialise in CoP will understand that this story is partly written for them to consider benchmarking, or cross-examining if I err...

In fact, when it comes to prevention of HIV, the disconnect with local correspondent network up among these 3 budget-holding people with 10 billion to spend sounded eerily like the disconnect of scientists with the tsunami coastline network (this thread has discussed as not yet being interlocally linked- I suppose this is because you dont primarily build an observer/volunteer prevention/alert network with money and professionals, or is there another reason anyone can think of? )

 











User comments Erich Feldmeier , 24th February 2005  Rating
use km to save money and lives!
Erich Feldmeier
especially to the posting of chris, 18th jan.:
citation out of ark-group newsletter:
“I knew I could save money for BP using KM techniques, but I didn’t realise we could use them to save lives.” Geoff Parcell, Senior Knowledge Management Adviser, BP.
...
Mr Parcell, who has just returned to BP after a secondment to UNAIDS, the UN agency tasked with co-ordinating the response to HIV and AIDS, said:
“I have had a fascinating and meaningful opportunity to be involved in making a difference to people’s lives using knowledge-management techniques honed in a business setting. It is without doubt the best thing I’ve ever applied my KM skills to, and I am looking forward to sharing what I have learnt with participants at this year’s Knowledge & Content UK.”
Erich
 











User comments Doug Carlson ,  9th February 2005  Rating
Scientists' Support of Communications

Thanks for the information on the "get the word out" article, Erich. I found the story sufficiently relevant to include it in my latest post at http://www.tsunamilessons.blogspot.com. It was something to see Dr. Charles Groat quoted: "All the technology in the world doesn't do a lot of good if you can't get the word out."

One way to get the word out, of course, is through the media. Maybe it's starting to sink in.

 











User comments Erich Feldmeier ,  7th February 2005  Rating
Environmental scientists told to 'get the word out'
Erich Feldmeier
Asian tsunami highlights problems with spreading information
http://www.nature.com/news/2005/050131/full/050131-17.html
Scientists are not doing enough to make sure that that information is getting out of the lab to those who can use it, a meeting of environmental scientists in Washington DC heard this week.

For example, scientists knew about December's Indian Ocean earthquake within minutes of it happening. Yet no formal alert was sounded and the resultant tsunami killed hundreds of thousands.

All three links of the warning chain were weak: the monitoring system in the Indian Ocean wasn't good enough; there were no communication channels to local authorities; and the public was not educated.

And compared with establishing lines of communication and teaching the populace to run for high ground, setting up a few buoys is the easy part, speakers told the conference of the National Council for Science and the Environment on Thursday 3 February.

"All the technology in the world doesn't do a lot of good if you can't get the word out," said Charles Groat, director of the United States Geological Survey.

Scientists are best known for keeping to themselves, said Charles Kennel, director of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California. "Too many times in the past the researcher kept all his work in a filing cabinet somewhere and you didn't get your hands on it until he was dead."
Serving society...

 











User comments Doug Carlson , 31st January 2005  Rating
Avoiding the Blame Game while Pursuing Progress

Andrew and others, I'm new to blogs and message boards, so I drifted away from the KM site for a few days and just read your posts here. Thanks for the support on the TsunamiLessons blog. It's truly gratifying that someone is reading these posts. I sometimes feel like I'm dropping a stone down a well in cyberspace and never hear the sound of hitting anything. I'll be more diligent in reading the site.

I'm trying to keep my "blame game" mentality at a minimum and don't want to nail someone's hide to the wall, but sometimes it's difficult. Last night on the Discovery/Science channel in the U.S. they had an hour-long program on the Indian Ocean tsunami, with many interviews of Dr. McCreery and others at the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center. And once again, they completely wrapped themselves in the argument that they did everything they possibly could and could have done no more. Nowhere in the past five weeks have we seen any NOAA representations that the pro-media argument has merit. And when I think of the lives that might have been saved with an emergency media notification plan in place, well....I tend to think some blame might be merited. But who knows? Maybe the communications professionals and even the PTWC scientists have been thwarted by superiors in their efforts to set up a network because of a "control" issue.

I'm preparing testimony for NOAA's hearing on Wednesday that will cut to the quick without placing any blame. The public record is pretty clear about what was done and what wasn't done on Christmas Day, Hawaii time, and it will be for the senators and the public to decide whether it was appropriate.

Please include me in the collective effort to improve emergency communications. And thanks again for your comments.

Aloha, Doug

 











User comments Doug Carlson , 31st January 2005  Rating
Making Tsunami Warnings Simple

Thanks for your note. I tend to agree with the old maxim, KISS -- Keep It Simple, Stupid. It's likely to be more productive if a direct call is made to global news organizations that are manned 24/7 than try to go through intermediaries whose contacts are problematic. What NOAA should do -- indeed, what any corporate communications office does between crises -- is solidify contacts with news organizations so the media know what to do when the emergency call comes in. It's really a no-brainer, but as a commentator wrote over the weekend (see my blog: TsunamiLessons.blogspot.com), maybe scientists don't think this way.

Aloha, Doug

 











User comments Andrew Lewis , 31st January 2005  Rating
Message from an expert (cont'd)
Andrew Lewis
from Mike MacDonald:

I do not want you to assume that I am speaking for NOAA in this note. I am not. But I do not think that you should assume that the key players at NOAA that can act to make a difference here are indifferent to the current situation, or that they are only interested in spin. I believe that they care deeply about the situation and will be part of the solution. Let's start talking about how we can work productively together to enable the Indian Ocean Basin Disaster Knowledge Management System in shortest time possible. I see your web log (tsunamilessons.blogspot.com) as a part of the solution. We are currently scheduling planning meetings with colleagues at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, the U.N., WHO, key relief organizations, key governmental command centers. We are hoping to set up Healthy Communities Network Resilience Nodes on the ground in Banda Aceh, India, and in Sri Lanka to deal with the still unfolding crises on in the disaster areas. Let's make sure that we are spending most of our time looking forward to anticipate emerging problems and not just seeking blame for what went wrong, otherwise we will just be focused on the last problem (e.g., the shoebomber syndrome) rather directing resources on the current and emerging crises.

I don't want to give the impression that everything is being handled or that it is clear that the DKMS(s) can be optimized in a short amount of time, or that other solutions might turn out to be better. We are dealing with an incredibly difficult set of problems (some potentially insurmountable in the short-term) in the Indian Ocean Basin (IOB) Tsunami/Earthquake Disaster Areas. However, I expect that we can have an initial "As Is" model of how knowledge is being shared and not shared globally to address the unfolding challenges in the IOB disaster areas in the next few weeks. We will be standing up a strawman "To Be" system and developing a gap analysis over the next month. Again, I do not want to be perceived as speaking for NOAA, but I can tell you that many NOAA, NWS, and other related water researchers will be receiving the Tsunami DKMS report over the next month. I fully expect that they will be part of the solution, and I see your efforts contributing to the solution.

That said. let's see what comes out of the Senate hearings.

Sincerely,

Mike

 











User comments Andrew Lewis , 31st January 2005  Rating
Message from an expert on disaster knowledge management systems
Andrew Lewis
This message is from Dr. Mike Macdonald, Coordinator, NDRCI National Disaster Risk Communication Initiative:

Doug,

I, with members of the National Disaster Risk Communication Initiative, have been following the tsunami events since December 26 and your web log (tsunamilessons.blogspot.com) since the beginning of January.  You are doing a great job with it. 

I run the National Disaster Risk Communication Initiative (NDRCI) in the United States.  There is no question that we can do better with risk communication than was done in the case of the 2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake/Tsunami.  I coordinated the during and after action risk communication research efforts on the 2004 hurricanes in Florida.  The collaborative discussions included representatives from NOAA, NWS, DHS, Red Cross, DOD, PBS&J, Global Health Initiatives, CDC, HHS, American Psychological Association, FEMA, etc.  As one outcome of these collaborative post-hurricane discussions, I have been coordinating the design of the Disaster Knowledge Management System (DKMS).  The early design pilots of this System are being tested in the hardest hit communities of Southwest Florida.  The second instantiation of the DKMS is proposed in the Mid-Atlantic Hurricane Resilience Network (MAHRN).  The third instantiation of the DKMS is proposed as the Indian Ocean Basin Disaster Knowledge Management System to be deployed as a global system to address the earthquake/tsunami disaster areas of the Indian Ocean Basin.

(continued in next comment)

 











User comments Erich Feldmeier , 30th January 2005  Rating
low tech and common sense
Erich Feldmeier
Doug, thanks for your contribution.


A list of phone numbers or a e-mail-alert-list
sounds really very simple; besides I see the same problem as you:

"...won’t learn from this experience and will do nothing to adjust its protocols for tomorrow’s massive ..."

what I thought was:
>Instead of calling the media, they picked up >their phones and called friends and colleagues >in the Indian Ocean region;
those also had the possibility to get an immediate/direct contact to regional mass media!?!?

Best regards,
Erich

 











User comments Doug Carlson , 27th January 2005  Rating
Tsunami warning must include low-tech news media

My web log (tsunamilessons.blogspot.com) explores the premise that the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center didn't have usable crisis communications protocols in place when the earthquake hit that would have enabled it to issue a usable tsunami warning via the AP, CNN, BBC, etc. Nothing written anywhere in the past four weeks suggests they tried to issue such a warning through the mass media -- even though the Center's scientists suspected a tsunami had been generated an hour before the waves hit Sri Lanka and India (according to NOAA's own timeline). Instead of calling the media, they picked up their phones and called friends and colleagues in the Indian Ocean region; that scenario has been reported in numerous media outlets. A UPI story carried in the Washington Times and elsewhere on January 7 quoted a NOAA spokeswoman as saying the Center doesn't even maintain a list of media contacts. (All this is reported on my blog.) Scientists are caught up in high-tech thinking, which may be understandable, but you have to wonder whether NOAA has done its job and devised low-tech warning plans for fast and efficient alerts via the news media to affected areas even outside NOAA's Pacific Rim community. From NOAA's own account, I don’t think it has — and now NOAA is in high-spin mode defending its reaction to the earthquake. The danger is that NOAA and its agencies won’t learn from this experience and will do nothing to adjust its protocols for tomorrow’s massive earthquake and resulting tsunami.
 











</b>User comments Chris Macrae , 27th January 2005  Rating
imagine all the people
Mr Chris Macrae
Above Doug's blogspot for anyone who wants 1-click http://tsunamilessons.blogspot.com

Also I would be interested in any ideas on how to google newtork resileince for people. About three quarters of NR references seem to be talking about how much redundancy is needed in machine coverage. So far nearest search I've got to NR people





if we included the sort of agenda Erich has just mentioned in a really open event like this one requested

I thought I was first promised such a community event 16 months ago as one of the outcomes of spending a day contributing to the event the critical incidents sig held in Brussels, but better late than never... of course at that time we also had an NGO sig and other threads where knowledge society and knowledge of business could cooperate with each other's questioning of each other, but those channels of communications seem to have been narrowed, not opened during 2004. I have been told it is intimidating to make such an observation, but I -and many other Londoners, people from India, from Brazil, and all around our networks - beg whole-heartedly to disagree. People should speak openly from waht they believe in , rather than edit out the action-ideas from the conversation.

 











User comments Erich Feldmeier , 27th January 2005  Rating
open information
Erich Feldmeier
Nature writes:
Data sharing for disasters 339
Last month's tsunami and its aftermath have highlighted a need for more science — and more effective sharing of data.
doi:10.1038/433339b

Solo efforts hamper tsunami warning system 343
Lack of coordination and data sharing causes global confusion.
doi:10.1038/433343a

A system that works ... if people listen 343
Lack of coordination and data sharing causes global confusion.
doi:10.1038/433343b
Scientists also found in citation indexes that nearly half of top scientists (founded by billions of $ to create progress, publishing that k. in top magazines) does not even know about or use knowledge from other top scientists.
(NATURE|VOL 425 | 11 SEPTEMBER 2003)
Again: What are we (re-)searching then?
In my opinion the problem is
-information overload
-physiological limitation to build knowledge from information (k. leading to action) Krumholz)
-lacking tech transfer from documentation and bibliography to a relatively new branch IT, lacking decades of experience knowledge
-too less interdisciplinary people working in reviewing (i.e. comdig.org)
(cp. Walter Krumholz, Robert Fugmann, Gustav Born, Peter Drucker)
Erich

 











User comments Chris Macrae , 26th January 2005  Rating
dear Thawat
Mr Chris Macrae
Your testimony sets an important example for openness

Sitting in London, I have been asking myself what is it that all people can continue to do if they want this tragedy's kaleidoscope of lessons to never be forgotten. Perhaps I need help with my conclusion, but tentatively it is listening to those real lessons one comes across and trying to connect a network of people who are doing the same at every level from my remote place in London, to someone on an Indian Ocean beach to anywhere between.

We can post up what we know and who we connect with and hopefully one day someone like google will wake up to there being one central clearing house for the milions of people who may have some of the clued testimonies. I dont know if KM has a term or even a case for such a meta-network assembled from every locality up, but it ought because the parallels are there with every global humanitarian problem - the disaster is local but some of the answers are in the worldwide connections being reduced to as near as possible no degrees of separation

Whilst writing the little I know:

Accidentally, I was in India 10 days before Tsunami and spent 3 days with someone who is now one of the main local coordinators of ongoing support the local Indian ocean people need. So I could collate any real questions people might have to ask this person in due course, and it would be particularly valuable to know if other people know a similar contact on other parts of the ocean coastline. So that one time when they have a bit of breathing space they can be linked into an email circulation list and share their testimonies

Most of the water angels networks that KB started about 2.5 years ago involve cataloguing information where people have too little water. I will make sure that where people meet eg 1 on these topics the other side of the coin is on the map.

Realising how little I understand about water as the most universal system all people are interdependent on, I am particularly keen to see where people are insisiting that we must build a learning curriculum on water from grade 1 to grade 40. If anyone knows where teachers are shaping that at any of those age levels from 7 to 50, it would be good to be told of some bookmarks on contact points.

Since I no longer value KB's own search on any huge topic, I must add in google on KB on water

 











User comments Thawat MATTE , 26th January 2005  Rating
Tsunami learning
Mr. Thawat MATTE
This lesson, we got it with a big loss of our valuable things e.g. life of relatives & friends, natural resources, tourist opportunity, occupy, home,car and so on. It will be the worst if we don't learn about this subject.

In case of Thailand, long-time invation into public beach area by thousand of luxurious hotels and resorts as well as local communities, these invations destroyed a lot of a natural wave-buffer such as sea-shore grove, curly sand (wave breaker)or a line of green-belt and instead by building, cement pathway or small road or nice rock-wall but all laid on sand for example.

For rich people who lost his/her 2nd hotel or resort, they still have a chance to recover by themself but for local people who lost their home, fishery tools or their family, they need help primarily. The next step is local people or community need to be facilitated on "Tsunami learning" for instance where is the hazardous area, where can alleviated power of giant wave Tsumnami by natural mechanism, how many ton of sand can be hold by thousand roots of sea-shore plant etc. They should learn in this way and during local people still do not earn any income, Donate fund can support them through reforest (sea-shore plant)promotion for example and who grew sea-shore plant and take care them until survive they can earn income from help fund before they will be handle their job normally. One thing is very importance that is "learning of people" before they get any help or support, they should learn even that for what they have to grow each sea-shore plant on the hazardous area and they will protect their sea-shore forest when they understand why they grew it.

 











User comments Andrew Lewis , 25th January 2005  Rating
Some disaster alert networks
Andrew Lewis
Hi,

I found a couple of websites that seek to alert people about emergencies (http://www.alertnet.org) and keep relief workers informed of the latest status of emergencies (http://www.reliefweb.int). I wonder if they have considered what it would take to have a system that would relay messages in real-time to the appropriate people.

 











User comments Andrew Lewis , 21st January 2005  Rating
And let's not forget malaria...
Andrew Lewis
There was an interesting report on the French news the other night about how Malaria is still the most deadly of all diseases and how DDT might be the most reasonable method of eradicating it, i.e. DDT is not pretty, but in small quantities does a lot more good than harm. http://www.malaria.org/DDTpage.html
 











User comments Erich Feldmeier , 20th January 2005  Rating
parallel lines
Erich Feldmeier
Chris, a great idea, but still lacks commitment to do so.
>For HIV it seems to me we need a map of all
>locations where new incidences are still snowballing...
The devastation (pdf)
http://wwics.si.edu/index.cfm?fuseaction=sf.item&news_id=104255
another well-known catastrophe to come
>Again where people are without freshwater...
good news, the german ministry for foresight, FUTUR, has elected "water" and "complexity management" as a leadvision to be developped
>can you elaborate what the extreme flu version
>of this missing linking up might be

very difficult to make a serious forecast;
scandalous to me is: not to transform 30 years of scientific research, what are we (re-) searching for then?
>(Sugestions welcomed!)
www.globalmarshallplan.org
I have to feed my press contacts these days (and nights ;-)): human capital is elected bad word of the year 2004.
Eric

 











User comments Chris Macrae , 18th January 2005  Rating
parallel lines
Mr Chris Macrae
Erich - can I check if I'm thinking on parallel lines

Its dawned on me with almost every potential crisis of global (or at least oceanwide) proportion, there's some very simple missing link

So for Tsunami, it was bush telegraph alert system all around the coastlines

For HIV it seems to me we need a map of all locations where new incidences are still snowballing and a local report on which of about 50 awareness or cultural issues is the cause of the spreading infection; this all needs ingle souce pooling and updating at one web

Again where people are without freshwater, we need one (online) atlas of locations with reports again of which one of about 50 detailed causes is the problem at each point on the map?

So on... as we go through the cases, there's a slighlty different nuance to what isnt being connected, and what local correspondent/observer network needs knitting. But its something very human, interdiciplinary, above the deep expert level, cheap to do if one could use word-of-net relationship permissions; and in most cases it could be specified at a digital interface if everyone agreed to pool the missing link through the same space

If what I am describing makes sense, can you elaborate what the extreme flu version of this missing linking up might be

Generally, assuming Kboard isnt up for this I think I will write around to some of the foundations started by the google, ebays of this world. (Sugestions welcomed!) I dont want money. I just want to see these simple central connections being linkedup. Am I missing something or is this simple if at the same time requiring a lot of people to pool something detailed?

 











User comments Erich Feldmeier , 17th January 2005  Rating
an analogy: think tsunami, act on flu
Erich Feldmeier
Jeffrey Pfeffer argued excellently in "The Knowing-Doing Gap" why people are talking, not acting, and how to change, of course. Lutz von Rosenstiel shows the central dilemma of successful management (talking for career) vs. efficent management (a time consuming process to care about employees).

So, in case of flu, Peter Palese says: "We didn't transform 30 years of scientific knowledge in flu research". Scientists who do laboratory work instead of self-marketing receive no budgets nor attention. We should install interdisciplinary promotors to prioritise meaningful knowledge for public wealth (and health).
Sincerely, Erich

http://www.biomedcentral.com/news/20050112/01
Public health experts worried about avian influenza amid tsunami chaos

Nature writes:
"Vietnam's war on flu:
Having suffered heavily from avian influenza in 2004, and with new cases now emerging, Vietnam might be brewing the next human flu pandemic. Yet, as Peter Aldhous discovers in this free News feature, local researchers don't have the resources to investigate the risk properly.
and:
Dangerous state of denial:
Despite the warning shots of SARS and last year's Asian outbreak of avian flu, governments are still not doing enough to monitor and prepare for the next viral pandemic. This inaction is scandalous."

WHO rises probability rating for flu --> no public reaction.
Whereas stock exchange reacts in minutes after a rating of S&P - poor people.

 











User comments Chris Macrae ,  8th January 2005  Rating
(2)
Mr Chris Macrae

Just as the people have led governments and corporates with donations, it is likely to be people who need to keep on questioning how the restoration picture connects. This is where all the great public broadcaster from the world's largest resourced the BBC to the world's with largest tv audience reach (India's DD) need to cooperate and know what investigative journalism all people have rights to in these matters.

We are looking for white papers and networks of interests connecting (and open sourcing democratic inquiries) these sorts of areas at this google answers.

 







Theming 5 dynamics of productivity
We explore & and share the latest tales at open spaces, and through project30000's global action villages and overall country maps co-edited in the 100 weblog netizen intitiative of collaboration knowledge city
The 5 Knowledge flowing energy levels connecting us are

  • K1 as people
  • K2 as groups (eg nets, communities) within or across large organisations
  • K3 as leadership visions, hierarchical led consensus
  • K4 as business sector partnerships including globalisation dynamics and networks as systems*systems
  • K5 grassroots sustainability up locally or across cultures : Drucker's social ecologies
  • K1*K2*K3*K4*K5 Pride of space goes to stories multiplying the best of all 5 productivity subsystems and systemically compounding hi-trust organisational futures

    User comments Chris Macrae ,  8th January 2005  Rating
    Is there a master checklist all relief agecies have access to (1)
    Mr Chris Macrae
    From the history of past major natural disasters, is there a commonly agreed categorisation list of combination of activities that may come up in each place?

    I am concerned that there may be lots of reinventing of the wheels, as well as failure of different relief organisations to be working to a common map (if two groups were building a tunnel from different ends you would hope they would meet)

    Here its seems to me that we have many simultaneous tunnels:

    from immediate relief to the end state each locality needs everyone's help in restoration towards as far as is humanly possible;

    It would be an absolute waste if the castlines connected by the Indian ocean do not learn from benchmarkable parallel intiatives just because they are in different countries. One example seems to be the help that all the fishing communities will need repairing their boats since this by definition a main industry sector across all poor parts of the coastline. One would imagine that over the next 2? years one needs one organsiation dedicated to repairing as well as lifting back to sea 10000? boats all around the coastlines. Instead we may have 200 charities with partial budgets and & different nations demanding parts of that, and within the whole process lack of transparecy as to where the aid goes. Usually its the case that those who get least news get the elast help. So we should have public broadcasters like the BBC developing a documentary series which flies around the caostlines scoring how equitably help is being developed, and clarifying what the next block or challenge is where. After all this would be a genuine world service and deep future news resource providing feedback inter alia on all the personal donations the people have made in countries across the globe.

    What is done with fishing and news, needs to be done with a list of other activities which I would like to see agreed in one conversational forum the world's publioc can observe as the local experts on the ground shape it: eg basic infrastrucures such as water, telecoms, roads and bridges; rebuilding tourism etc. The possibility is to build a network of correspondents from each locality up; a map of what is the email bush telegraph post at each locality would itself be vital so that if another Tsunami attacked alerts connecetd people much more than they did this time. Many business sectors might have a role to play, and thise that played the best role would get far more customer credit than spending money on fatuuous advertising. Think what reality-making travel agents could be doing if they saw their brochure responsibility to all the coastlives as not just selling separate locations but open pooling local situation reports that wherever they happen to have representaives or local correspondents on the Indian Ocean coastlines.